Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 345.085730 390.619866 440.932968 500.824966 570.402202 648.950025 744.712795
2025-12-14 274.210032 333.535231 404.838684 497.551992 615.934738 763.400173 963.137286
2025-12-21 227.313302 289.646942 368.796289 477.954354 626.606929 824.923704 1114.536572
2025-12-28 207.148843 274.467582 364.017129 493.937297 681.111903 946.530625 1361.551998
2026-01-04 192.904678 264.338797 363.273673 513.346397 740.683098 1081.360305 1648.715591
2026-01-11 176.521961 248.799598 352.361698 515.529077 773.640519 1179.583228 1894.614096
2026-01-18 159.625741 230.422372 334.841593 504.820973 784.029798 1242.236365 2090.788300
2026-01-25 145.580042 214.715656 319.390488 494.941258 793.485703 1303.227128 2292.942415
2026-02-01 138.572431 208.948432 318.421116 507.805757 841.841990 1436.705786 2652.061759
2026-02-08 129.454840 198.944895 309.591519 506.247252 864.398728 1526.483882 2942.596098
2026-02-15 120.714384 188.740081 299.382583 500.966095 879.134946 1603.046657 3219.952996
2026-02-22 114.233635 181.664425 293.666358 502.818601 907.013937 1708.538226 3579.985068
2026-03-01 106.297158 171.671868 282.358687 493.786964 913.764355 1774.478383 3870.118153
2026-03-08 99.995874 164.000493 274.465262 490.335343 931.258885 1865.888674 4242.405561
2026-03-15 91.970638 152.710199 259.167211 471.073789 913.830085 1878.656116 4421.804167
2026-03-22 89.645606 151.315540 261.651614 486.788245 971.855823 2069.557434 5110.377874
2026-03-29 87.893203 150.788703 265.641297 505.869651 1039.719724 2295.146003 5955.906773
2026-04-05 84.126161 146.263266 261.655985 508.015351 1069.809305 2434.403593 6591.454186
2026-04-12 79.168389 139.164629 252.141571 497.488421 1069.179982 2496.195513 7008.478475
2026-04-19 74.702260 132.705289 243.398682 487.775312 1069.268352 2559.975035 7450.451177
2026-04-26 72.976080 131.386470 244.771777 500.422767 1125.398646 2784.044204 8495.227433
2026-05-03 69.899655 127.224332 240.056726 498.890605 1145.894764 2913.154329 9251.137630
2026-05-10 66.681974 122.578499 234.004707 493.698613 1156.344178 3015.470724 9943.137044